Financial Analysis: Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR) vs. Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT (EARN)

Invesco Mortgage Capital (NYSE: IVR) and Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT (NYSE:EARN) are both finance companies, but which is the better stock? We will compare the two companies based on the strength of their institutional ownership, profitability, earnings, dividends, valuation, risk and analyst recommendations.

Profitability

This table compares Invesco Mortgage Capital and Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT’s net margins, return on equity and return on assets.

Net Margins Return on Equity Return on Assets
Invesco Mortgage Capital 66.86% 9.06% 1.09%
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT 40.44% 12.02% 1.17%

Volatility & Risk

Invesco Mortgage Capital has a beta of 0.86, suggesting that its share price is 14% less volatile than the S&P 500. Comparatively, Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT has a beta of 0.59, suggesting that its share price is 41% less volatile than the S&P 500.

Insider & Institutional Ownership

63.2% of Invesco Mortgage Capital shares are held by institutional investors. Comparatively, 66.7% of Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT shares are held by institutional investors. 0.3% of Invesco Mortgage Capital shares are held by company insiders. Comparatively, 2.7% of Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT shares are held by company insiders. Strong institutional ownership is an indication that hedge funds, large money managers and endowments believe a stock will outperform the market over the long term.

Dividends

Invesco Mortgage Capital pays an annual dividend of $1.64 per share and has a dividend yield of 9.0%. Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT pays an annual dividend of $1.60 per share and has a dividend yield of 12.6%. Invesco Mortgage Capital pays out 44.1% of its earnings in the form of a dividend. Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT pays out 149.5% of its earnings in the form of a dividend, suggesting it may not have sufficient earnings to cover its dividend payment in the future.

Analyst Ratings

This is a summary of recent ratings and price targets for Invesco Mortgage Capital and Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT, as reported by MarketBeat.

Sell Ratings Hold Ratings Buy Ratings Strong Buy Ratings Rating Score
Invesco Mortgage Capital 0 2 2 0 2.50
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT 0 2 0 0 2.00

Invesco Mortgage Capital presently has a consensus target price of $18.13, suggesting a potential downside of 0.85%. Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT has a consensus target price of $14.00, suggesting a potential upside of 9.89%. Given Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT’s higher possible upside, analysts clearly believe Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT is more favorable than Invesco Mortgage Capital.

Earnings & Valuation

This table compares Invesco Mortgage Capital and Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT’s top-line revenue, earnings per share and valuation.

Gross Revenue Price/Sales Ratio Net Income Earnings Per Share Price/Earnings Ratio
Invesco Mortgage Capital $456.86 million 4.47 $254.41 million $3.72 4.91
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT $24.22 million 7.02 $11.90 million $1.07 11.91

Invesco Mortgage Capital has higher revenue and earnings than Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT. Invesco Mortgage Capital is trading at a lower price-to-earnings ratio than Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT, indicating that it is currently the more affordable of the two stocks.

Summary

Invesco Mortgage Capital beats Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT on 9 of the 16 factors compared between the two stocks.

About Invesco Mortgage Capital

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is a holding company, which conducts its businesses through IAS Operating Partnership LP (the Operating Partnership) and subsidiaries. The Company’s objective is to provide risk-adjusted returns to its investors through dividends and through capital appreciation. It invests in residential mortgage-backed securities that are guaranteed by the United States Government agency, such as the Government National Mortgage Association or a federally chartered corporation, such as the Federal National Mortgage Association or the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (collectively Agency RMBS); RMBS that are not guaranteed by the United States Government agency; Credit risk transfer securities that are unsecured obligations issued by government-sponsored enterprises; commercial mortgage-backed securities; residential and commercial mortgage loans, and other real estate-related financing arrangements. It is externally managed and advised by Invesco Advisers, Inc.

About Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT is a real estate investment trust. The Company conducts its business through its subsidiaries, EARN OP GP LLC and Ellington Residential Mortgage LP (the Operating Partnership). It specializes in acquiring, investing in and managing residential mortgage- and real estate-related assets. It constructs and managing a portfolio consisting of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States Government agency or the United States Government-sponsored entity (Agency RMBS) and, to a lesser extent, RMBS backed by prime jumbo, Alternative A-paper manufactured housing, and subprime residential mortgage loans (non-Agency RMBS). Its Agency RMBS include residential mortgage pass-through certificates, collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs) and to-be-announced mortgage pass-through certificates (TBAs). Its non-agency RMBS include investment grade and non-investment grade classes.

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